Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
175
Predictions logged
65%
Accuracy (settled)
58.3%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Calculated | Match | Market | Model choice | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09.2026 23:00 |
Primeira Liga · 20.09.2026 22:30
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
|
— | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Eredivisie · 20.09.2026 17:45
|
Corners | Over 10.5 |
|
— | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Eredivisie · 20.09.2026 15:30
|
Corners | Over 10 |
|
— | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 22:00
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
|
— | 8 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 19:45
|
Corners | Over 11 |
|
— | 9 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Ligue 1 · 20.09.2026 16:00
|
Corners | Over 10 |
|
— | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 21:45
|
Corners | Over 10.5 |
|
— | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 21:45
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
|
— | 13 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Bundesliga · 20.09.2026 16:30
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
|
— | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 20.09.2026 22:00
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
|
— | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 20.09.2026 19:30
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
|
— | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Primeira Liga · 19.09.2026 17:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
62.08% | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 17:15
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
66.97% | 6 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
68% | 16 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
69.9% | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
69.9% | 5 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
64.62% | 3 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
64.62% | 8 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 8 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:00 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 16:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 17 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 14:00 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 4 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 7 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 15:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 8 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 12 | Correct |
Showing 25 of 35 predictions.