Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
185
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
59%
Average probability
44
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Corners | Under 9.5 |
1.95
Bet365
|
|
55.11% | 6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
—
|
|
65.31% | 10 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Corners | Under 10 |
1.82
Bet365
|
|
55.75% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Corners | Under 10 |
1.78
Bet365
|
|
56.12% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Corners | Under 10 |
1.83
Pinnacle
|
|
55.32% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Corners | Over 11.5 |
1.90
Bet365
|
|
53.26% | 24 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Corners | Under 9.5 |
1.85
Pinnacle
|
|
54.99% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Veikkausliiga
|
Corners | Under 10.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
66.68% | 10 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Superliga
|
Corners | Under 10 |
1.98
Bet365
|
|
54.27% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Corners | Over 10.5 |
1.90
Bet365
|
|
53.46% | 14 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
1.90
Bet365
|
|
57.28% | 10 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Corners | Under 9.5 |
1.78
Bet365
|
|
56.53% | 9 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Corners | Under 11 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
58.27% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
1.87
Pinnacle
|
|
53.39% | 15 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Corners | Over 10 |
1.90
Bet365
|
|
55.14% | 16 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Corners | Over 10 |
1.85
Bet365
|
|
62.49% | 12 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Bundesliga
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
1.84
Pinnacle
|
|
55.32% | 13 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
HNL
|
Corners | Over 9 |
1.95
Bet365
|
|
52.5% | 16 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
2. Bundesliga
|
Corners | Under 10 |
1.82
Bet365
|
|
56.22% | 8 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
K League 1
|
Corners | Under 8.5 |
1.90
Bet365
|
|
59.44% | 8 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
K League 1
|
Corners | Under 8.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
52.73% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
K League 1
|
Corners | Under 8.5 |
1.91
Bet365
|
|
54.29% | 6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Corners | Under 8.5 |
1.98
Bet365
|
|
52.35% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier Division
|
Corners | Under 10.5 |
1.79
Pinnacle
|
|
56.38% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Corners | Under 9 |
1.90
Bet365
|
|
55.26% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 185 predictions.