Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
927
Predictions logged
57%
Accuracy (settled)
55.2%
Average probability
52
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
—
|
|
58.25% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
58.02% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
58.79% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
51.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:0 |
—
|
|
56.65% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:0 |
—
|
|
53.52% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
60.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
58.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
58.64% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
60.54% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
59.85% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
60% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
58.78% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
—
|
|
60.27% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
50.28% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
2.60
Bet365
|
|
50.75% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:0 |
—
|
|
62.46% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
2.00
Bet365
|
|
53.96% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
44.56% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.85
Bet365
|
|
45.61% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.62
1xBet
|
|
61.62% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.74
1xBet
|
|
47.29% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
51.98% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
45.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.72
Bet365
|
|
45.75% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 927 predictions.