Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
882
Predictions logged
54%
Accuracy (settled)
55.4%
Average probability
51
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NPFL
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
61.58% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 0:0 |
—
|
|
56.96% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
60.3% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Premiership
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
59.56% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
59.72% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
50.6% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
51.16% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
59.64% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
—
|
|
58.06% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.75
Bet365
|
|
52.07% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 0:0 |
—
|
|
53.9% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
61.2% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.70
Bet365
|
|
59.82% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.78
Bet365
|
|
61.12% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
58.65% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+1) · 2:1 |
1.61
1xBet
|
|
60.92% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.30
Bet365
|
|
52.1% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ekstraklasa
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.88
Bet365
|
|
43.52% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.74
1xBet
|
|
61.58% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.71
1xBet
|
|
59.45% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.52
Bet365
|
|
59.73% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.82
Bet365
|
|
58.19% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+1) · 2:1 |
1.68
1xBet
|
|
51.79% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
2.14
1xBet
|
|
61.04% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.57
1xBet
|
|
47.91% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 882 predictions.