Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
158
Predictions logged
49%
Accuracy (settled)
47.8%
Average probability
51
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
—
|
|
43.91% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.99
Pinnacle
|
|
50.07% | 1:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.85
Pinnacle
|
|
56.81% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.75
Pinnacle
|
|
43.91% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.30
Bet365
|
|
40.19% | 1:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.30
Bet365
|
|
36.86% | 3:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Veikkausliiga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.70
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 3:4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Veikkausliiga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.92
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Persha Liga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
—
|
|
40.19% | 2:4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.56
Pinnacle
|
|
54.3% | 1:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.30
Pinnacle
|
|
40.19% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.25
Bet365
|
|
43.91% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.61
Pinnacle
|
|
43.91% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 2:3 |
3.40
Bet365
|
|
42.23% | 1:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.73
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
52.72% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.60
Bet365
|
|
43.91% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:3 |
2.12
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 2:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 2:3 |
2.05
Bet365
|
|
52.72% | 4:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.25
Pinnacle
|
|
57.64% | 0:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga I
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.28
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Superliga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
4.12
Pinnacle
|
|
43.91% | 5:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Bundesliga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.39
Pinnacle
|
|
43.91% | 3:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
—
|
|
52.72% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Superliga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 2:3 |
3.16
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 3:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 158 predictions.