Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
175
Predictions logged
66%
Accuracy (settled)
58.3%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Calculated | Match | Market | Model choice | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Premier League · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 16 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 21:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
— | 1:2 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 21:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 2:3 |
|
— | 2:2 | Incorrect |
| 17.09.2026 21:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 13 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 21:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 14 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 21:30 |
Championship · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
— | 1:0 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 21:30 |
Championship · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 7 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 21:30 |
Championship · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 9 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 21:30 |
Championship · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 7 | Incorrect |
| 17.09.2026 20:57 |
Ligue 1 · 18.09.2026 21:45
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 2 | Incorrect |
| 17.09.2026 20:57 |
Ligue 1 · 18.09.2026 21:45
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 10 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 20:57 |
Ligue 1 · 18.09.2026 21:45
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 10 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 19:30 |
Serie A · 18.09.2026 21:45
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 14 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 19:00 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 4 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 19:00 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 12 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 19:00 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 8 | Incorrect |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
— | 1:3 | Incorrect |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 4 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 10 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 17.09.2026 22:30
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 6 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 17.09.2026 22:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 12 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 17.09.2026 20:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
— | 1:0 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 17.09.2026 20:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 4 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 17.09.2026 20:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 10 | Correct |
| 17.09.2026 18:30 |
La Liga · 17.09.2026 20:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 7 | Incorrect |
Showing 25 of 175 predictions.