Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
175
Predictions logged
66%
Accuracy (settled)
58.3%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Calculated | Match | Market | Model choice | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09.2026 14:00 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
— | 3:2 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 14:00 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 15 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 14:00 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 4 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 7 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
La Liga · 20.09.2026 17:15
|
Both teams to score | Over 0 |
|
— | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 22:00
|
Both teams to score | Over 0 |
|
— | 1 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 17:15
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 1:1 |
|
— | 0:0 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 15:00
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 2:2 |
|
— | 1:1 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 15:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 5 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 15:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 8 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 1:1 |
|
— | 2:3 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 12 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 01:40 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 01:40 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 01:40 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 9 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 16:01 |
Bundesliga · 18.09.2026 21:30
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:1 |
|
— | 7:0 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 16:01 |
Bundesliga · 18.09.2026 21:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 17 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 16:01 |
Bundesliga · 18.09.2026 21:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 11 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Eredivisie · 18.09.2026 21:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
|
— | 3:0 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Eredivisie · 18.09.2026 21:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 8 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Eredivisie · 18.09.2026 21:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 11 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Premier League · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
— | 3:0 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Premier League · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 2 | Incorrect |
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Premier League · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 8 | Correct |
Showing 25 of 175 predictions.