Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
175
Predictions logged
66%
Accuracy (settled)
58.3%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Calculated | Match | Market | Model choice | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Serie A · 20.09.2026 16:00
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
48.79% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Serie A · 20.09.2026 13:30
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
55.57% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 21:45
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
55.57% | 0:2 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 19:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
|
54.58% | 2:2 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 20.09.2026 16:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
56.19% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 20.09.2026 16:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
65.83% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 19:30
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
52.78% | 0:1 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
58.9% | 5 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
65.64% | 7 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
59.71% | 3 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
65.64% | 6 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
59.71% | 5 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
63.02% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 2:3 |
|
— | 2:2 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 8 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
— | 3:4 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 15 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:00 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 16:00
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 1:1 |
|
— | 1:1 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:00 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 16:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 4 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 15:00 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 16:00
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
— | 0:1 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:00 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 16:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 7 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 15:00 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 16:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 17 | Correct |
Showing 25 of 175 predictions.