Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
175
Predictions logged
66%
Accuracy (settled)
58.3%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Calculated | Match | Market | Model choice | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
53.56% | 6 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
69.9% | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Primeira Liga · 19.09.2026 20:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
57.93% | 1:0 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Primeira Liga · 19.09.2026 17:30
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
57.93% | 1:1 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 20.09.2026 15:30
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
54.63% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
49.59% | 2:1 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.13% | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
69.9% | 5 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
57.65% | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
64.62% | 3 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.13% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
64.62% | 8 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Eredivisie · 20.09.2026 15:30
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
57.93% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 22:00
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 2:3 |
|
55.57% | 0:1 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Ligue 1 · 20.09.2026 16:00
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 2:2 |
|
25.9% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 21:45
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
49.59% | 3:2 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Bundesliga · 20.09.2026 16:30
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
|
52.78% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
La Liga · 20.09.2026 22:00
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 2:2 |
|
25.93% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
La Liga · 20.09.2026 19:30
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 2:2 |
|
25.93% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
La Liga · 20.09.2026 17:15
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 2:2 |
|
25.93% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
La Liga · 20.09.2026 15:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
58.28% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 22:00
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
|
49.59% | 1:3 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 19:30
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
52.78% | 5:0 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Serie A · 20.09.2026 19:00
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 1:1 |
|
29.02% | — | Pending |
Showing 25 of 175 predictions.