Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
175
Predictions logged
66%
Accuracy (settled)
58.3%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Calculated | Match | Market | Model choice | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Championship · 20.09.2026 15:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Eredivisie · 20.09.2026 15:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
61.95% | — | Pending |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 22:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
77.41% | 6 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 17:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
77.41% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 18:15
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.89% | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 17:15
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
63.82% | 6 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.13% | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
57.65% | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.13% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
65.64% | 7 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
65.64% | 6 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
63.02% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 15 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 15:00 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 16:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 4 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 15:00 |
Serie A · 19.09.2026 16:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 7 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 14:00 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 16:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 15 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 02:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 15:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 5 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 01:40 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 14:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 8 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 16:01 |
Bundesliga · 18.09.2026 21:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 17 | Correct |
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Eredivisie · 18.09.2026 21:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
— | 8 | Correct |
Showing 25 of 58 predictions.